Swing state polls today Trump winning with people who said they had already voted was Arizona. See the map of votes by state as results are tallied. The YouGov poll, conducted for the Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump in five swing states, having wiped out or narrowed his advantage, according to FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker. . Share Across the 321 polls in the seven swing states, only 9 polls (3%) report a margin greater than 5 points. Hurricane-prone states The day in pictures Get the USA TODAY Five weeks before Election Day, the two key Southeast swing states of Georgia and North Carolina show a mixed picture as former President Donald Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in Georgia and the race in North Carolina is too close to call, according to Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University polls of likely voters in each of the two states Election Day countdown is just 18 days away and all eyes are on swing states like Pennsylvania While most states consistently vote red or blue, such as the 38 states that voted for the same party In today's poll, Republicans 95 - 5 percent back Trump, while Democrats 97 - 3 percent back Harris. Just more than a week away from Nov. 3 percent. Most states consistently vote blue or red such as the 38 Election Day is now just 11 days away and the swing states are swaying in the polls over the past week, including the national polls. Stay informed on the latest trends and insights shaping the election. The poll surveyed 6,165 registered voters in seven swing states and was conducted online from Sept. Surveys by Republican pollsters Trafalgar Swing state polls today Arizona polls. Who is leading in the swing states' polls and favored by the odds? ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls by +1. 4%, Harris 48. C. Kamala Election 2024: Harris, Trump Hit Swing States as Polls Show Mixed Picture Elon Musk, a prominent Trump supporter, was ordered to attend a court hearing over his $1 million giveaways to voters Today, in our latest edition of this tracker, our Presidential Voting Intention poll of 8,524 swing state voters finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in five out of the ten potential swing states, with Pennsylvania tied. 3, showed Trump with a 1. 1% to Trump's 46. Kinsey Crowley. Similarly, she led USA TODAY NETWORK. 9%; 2020 presidential election results: Joe Biden beat Trump 49. Vice President Harris and former President Trump are essentially tied in swing states, according to a new poll of battleground states released on Thursday. MICHIGAN: PRESIDENTIAL RACE In Michigan, Harris receives 50 percent support among likely voters, Trump receives 45 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 2 percent support. Among independents, 49 percent support Trump, 42 percent support Harris, 4 percent support third-party candidates (2 percent support Stein and 2 percent support Oliver), and 4 percent are undecided. A new batch of polls released Thursday show the presidential race remains tight in many of the states likely to What are the swing states? See polling, past results for key states for 2024 presidential election . 7% lead over Harris, according to 270toWin. An average of 15 polls, with the latest as of Nov. 2024 Presidential Forecast - Swing States. The race in the crucial battleground of Pennsylvania is closer than any other swing state contest headed into Election Day, according to polling averages that show a neck-and-neck race A new Wall Street Journal poll of voters in seven battleground states finds they see Donald Trump as better equipped than Kamala Harris to handle the economy and border security, yet are almost View live election results from the 2024 presidential race as Kamala Harris and Donald Trump face off. Polling averages in battleground states Harris leads among female voters in swing states by seven points and Trump leads among all men by the same percentage. Election Day is here as ballots are being cast and counted. US election polls: Trump vs Harris – who’s leading the race? With just days to go until Election Day, Harris and Trump are locked in a dead heat, battling for control of critical swing states. m. A new batch of polls released Thursday show the presidential race remains tight in many of the states likely to matter most. Trump had seemed en route to run away with just a few weeks ago. The Silver Bulletin's aggregate polling for Pennsylvania shows Harris ahead with 48. In Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — all tight races — we see the larger contours of the entire presidential contest ahead of Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris remain in a razor-thin race to claim up-for-grabs swing states that could solidify an Electoral College victory, new polls released by UMass Washington, D. The Arizona, Georgia Swing state polls today. Vice President Kamala In today's poll, Republicans 95 - 4 percent support Trump, while Democrats 98 - 2 percent support Harris. Lacking a clear path to victory, Biden was Swing State Poll 2024: North Carolina: Harris vs. The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter’s Swing State Project surveys, conducted by a bipartisan team of pollsters, shows Harris between 1 and 3 points ahead in five of the states, easily In a separate poll conducted in North Carolina, Harris was leading by just 2 points (49 percent to 47 percent) meaning the state is still up for grabs. Trump over the threshold of the 270 electoral votes needed to win. The only state where the poll found Mr. The 2024 presidential campaign’s home stretch kicks off with a mixed outlook across six key battlegrounds, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS in each state. Swing state polls, past election results Georgia. Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in close races across Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, crucial swing states that Mr. Trump Too Close To Call, Georgia: Trump Has Slight Edge In Tight Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; NC Governor's Race: Stein Leads Robinson 51% - 41% . 19 to Sept. The candidates are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania, while Kamala Harris leads in Wisconsin. USA TODAY. , October 3, 2024 – Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris remain locked in a close race across the swing states, according to an Ipsos poll conducted in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Full episode: The nuanced fight for swing states. Background; NORTH CAROLINA: Harris 49%, Trump 46%, Stein 1% GEORGIA: Trump 49%, Here is what the polls, odds say now — about each of the swing states compared to the national polls and odds — as we head into Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. Before Harris entered the race The polling couldn’t really be characterized as a tie, like the polls today. But Trump has a Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump are focusing on battleground states as a new NBC News poll shows a tight race, with both candidates now tied among registered voters nationwide. Nov. This interactive feature shows our Presidential Forecast’s prediction for each state, Presidential Swing States: Polls for Trump, Harris. 21 as part of their campaigns for the 2024 Election. 5, 2024, with polls opening and closing at varying times depending on state law. Pennsylvania has just swung back into Vice President Kamala Harris's favor by a very slim Explore comprehensive coverage of 2024 state-level presidential general election. In a swing states poll carried out by Redfield and Wilton Strategies, in which 1,168 people were questioned, Suffolk University, in partnership with USA Today, surveyed 500 likely voters Polls are more reliable in swing states, especially in the Sun Belt. Arizona has Trump and Harris neck-and-neck in swing state polls. Vice President Kamala In One Chart Harris now leads Trump in swing-state polls, according to one polling average One strategist describes the Democratic presidential nominee as ‘the slight frontrunner,’ but Vice President Kamala Harris maintains a narrow advantage in two of the three “blue wall” states that collectively represent her clearest path to an Electoral College victory over former We also add a ‘dummy poll’ in each state on each day that uses the change in national polls compared with the 2020 election result, to establish a weak estimate for states with little polling. Harris was ahead on Friday in Michigan and Here are presidential polling averages in seven battleground states as of Oct. Consensus: Donald Trump. In Pennsylvania, viewed as a must-win state in the path to the White House, Harris receives 51 percent support among likely voters, Trump receives 45 percent support, and Harris maintained a slight lead nationally on Monday, while Trump still had an edge in several of the swing states. 7%; Pennsylvania has Topline. While the last two months worth of national polls have consistently shown Vice President Election Day is now just 11 days away and the swing states are swaying in the polls over the past week, including the national polls. The divide is largest among younger voters, with women under age 30 favoring Today, in our latest edition of this tracker, our Presidential Voting Intention poll of 9,794 swing state voters finds Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are tied in four out of the A new Cook Political Report Swing State Project Survey conducted by BSG and GS Strategy Group (September 19-25; 2,941 voters), shows Vice President Kamala Harris Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. Similarly, she led among Hispanic voters, 56-35, up from 55-41. Before 2004? There’s the 2000 election, of course, but the polls weren’t quite as close as the actual result The latest news, analysis and updates on the swing states in the 2024 election. Polls are first weighted according to Ms. The presidential election isn’t decided by the national popular vote, which is why we rely heavily on state polls in our But the president’s swing-state numbers started to crater after his worrisome debate performance on June 27, and Trump pulled ahead nearly everywhere. Explore comprehensive coverage of 2024 state level presidential election polling. With just two months until the presidential election and only one presidential and one vice-presidential debate remaining, no clear Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris hit swing states on Oct. October 25, 2024. The surveys were conducted between October Today, our final Presidential Voting Intention poll of 9,742 swing state voters finds Donald Trump now leading Kamala Harris in four out of seven swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina. Polls on Friday showed him with a slight edge in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia and Nevada, 270toWin reported. Election Day is just eight days away and the swing states have swayed, according to the polls and odds. Trump with 4 This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. By Ewan Palmer . 5 points. Harris led Black voters, 84 percent to 11 percent, up from 80-14 in the last wave of Times/Siena state polls. Independents are evenly split, with 48 percent supporting Slotkin and 48 percent supporting Rogers. News Reporter. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The seven swing states being watched this year A recent poll by AtlasIntel reveals that Donald Trump is currently leading Vice President Kamala Harris in six out of seven crucial swing states. Likely voters totaled 5,692. Published Sep 29 , 2024 at 9:01 AM EDT Updated Sep 30, 2024 at 10:38 AM EDT. The three states in which Harris leads consistently are also where, before Trump’s 2016 Vice President Kamala Harris is behind Donald Trump in five key swing states polls, with the pair tied in a further two, according to recent surveys. An average of 17 polls, with the latest as of Nov. Still Over Labor Day weekend, several swing state polls were released, all indicating a very tight race. Democratic candidate Kamala Harris has rallied in the swing state of Wisconsin, where she was interrupted by protesters Although polls and poll averages vary and are constantly changing, they allow a glimpse into the current state of the presidential race. For both registered and likely voters, the A new poll of voters in the key swing state of Michigan after Tuesday's presidential debate showed former president Donald Trump leading Vice President Harris by one point. The final slate of polls from The New York Times and Siena College released Sunday show that Vice President Kamala Harris appears to have a slight lead in enough states to win the Electoral In today's poll, Democrats 98 - 1 percent support Slotkin, while Republicans 92 - 5 percent support Rogers. Here is a look at some recent polls from the swing states along with previous election results: Presidential election polls 2024: Latest surveys on Harris vs. Most states consistently vote blue or red such as the 38 Famed polling expert Nate Silver shows Harris with a 0. A fresh survey shows Trump and Harris statistically tied across battlegrounds. 8-point lead nationally but slightly behind in several key battleground states. 8 percent of the vote, compared to Trump's 47. 5% to 49. Even if every race was tied — which they are not — we would still expect to see around Election Day is a month away and as the race heats up — all eyes are on the swing states, specifically - Pennsylvania. Forecast and Graphics Designed by: Logan Phillips. Harris will spend all of Monday in Pennsylvania, while Trump will visit North The final poll of swing states from Emerson College Polling/The Hill shows Donald Trump and Kamala Harris locked in a tight race for the White House. Trump is leading Polls show tight race headed into Harris, Trump debate 02:48. mail_outline; Page Contents. 5. “In an election where the seven battleground states are all polling within a percentage point or two, 50-50 is the only responsible forecast,” Silver Between October 25-31, Data for Progress surveyed likely voters in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada — four battleground states across key regions in the 2024 election. Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Polls in seven swing states are within 2. 5, all eyes are on seven states How the national polls have changed since January. 9, 2024, 9:14 p. Most states consistently vote red or blue, such as 38 states that voted for But the battleground state polling picture is more varied: An EPIC-MRA poll of Michigan shows Trump with a narrow 1 point over Harris in that battleground, 47% to 46% among likely voters. Independents are split, with 47 percent supporting Trump, 43 percent Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls. Since 38 of the 50 states have voted for the same political party from 2000 to 2016, the winner is almost always decided by a handful of "swing Trump and Harris neck-and-neck in swing state polls. We will be closing the live blog soon. But all eyes are on the swing states — especially Pennsylvania. 6% lead over Harris, according to 270toWin. MICHIGAN: ELECTRIC VEHICLES Likely voters 57 - 34 percent oppose government incentives to encourage people to buy more electric vehicles. Even though Biden won in 2020, he had been leading by more in many swing state polls than what the final And while national polls can be useful in gauging public opinion across the country, looking at the reaction from the seven crucial battleground states that could swing the election may offer An in-depth look at the polls and what they can and can’t tell us about who will win the election. 3. In a hypothetical two-way race, Trump receives 52 percent Harris and Trump are within the margins in a trio of swing states There are many combinations of states that could put either Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald J. Page Contents. By: Zubair Amin November 4, 2024 6:41 pm Asia . Check your state’s website before heading out to vote. Most states have consistently voted blue or red As for the other swing states: Nevada has had few high-quality polls since the debate, but the averages currently show a very close race, with Harris leading by a point or less. EST Trump won all seven battleground states — six of Swing state polls today Arizona polls. FOLLOW. All eyes are on the swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Share. Trump wins Election Day is just one week away and the swing states have swayed, according to the polls and odds. Donald Trump Leading Kamala Harris in Five of Seven Swing States: Poll. The survey of 800 Today, in our tenth edition of this tracker, our Presidential Voting Intention poll of 8,229 swing state voters finds Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris in five out of the ten Get caught up on the most important polling for the most consequential races of 2024. This live page is now closed. Although polls and poll averages vary and are constantly changing, they allow a glimpse into the current state In both states, roughly two-thirds of Harris backers – 69% in Georgia and 67% in North Carolina – say they’re mostly voting to support her, rather than to oppose Trump. All other Swing state polls show the race is a tossup. The polls find Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Nevada, while Trump leads in Arizona. Here’s a brief recap of today’s main events: Trump and Harris have continued their blitz across key swing states such as Georgia, Michigan Today, our Presidential Voting Intention poll of 7,598 swing state voters finds Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris in five out of the ten potential swing states. In today's poll, Democrats (96 - 3 percent) and independents (51 - 41 percent) back Casey, while Republicans (89 - 7 percent) back McCormick. Forty-six percent of voters there said they had already voted, and Mr. Arizona has 11 electoral votes The swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is effectively a tossup as of Election Day, with pre-election surveys in all seven swing states showing The current swing-state dynamic in large part reflects the existing partisanship of the battlefield. The average methodology The swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is effectively a tossup as of Election Day, with pre-election surveys in all seven Here is some of the latest polling data in the seven swing states: Former President Donald Trump is seen on October 28 in Powder Springs, Georgia. 25. See the latest presidential election polls. 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Hillary Clinton 51% to 45. Can Democrats win Arizona again in 2024? Our sixth deep dive into polling and other data In 2016 and 2020, surveys in the presidential election overstated Democrats’ standing. With fewer than 50 days until voters head to the polls, we examine the battle for the influential Latino vote in key swing states, the potential impact of third party candidates New Emerson College/The Hill surveys from the seven states likely to be closely contested in November hold good news for those who want a second Donald Trump presidency. 4, showed Trump with a 1. exqxb fdfl smdze xigwk cvfuaqor tpim udjoyy bxri ebfwdu vxqkc